Population Projections. Contrary to previous trends, the latest available estimates indicate that the population of East Ayrshire is likely to remain relatively static between 2010 and 2035. By contrast, the population of Scotland is projected to increase by 10.2% between 2010 and 2035. East Ayrshire’s population is ageing significantly, with the local working age population (16-64) projected to fall by 13.8% between 2010 and 2035, compared with a relatively static working age population across Scotland. These statistics are compounded by the fact that the over 65 population is expected to increase significantly over the same timeframe. It is estimated that the number of residents aged 65 and over in East Ayrshire will increase by 59%, and will account for around 28% of the total population by 2035, compared to 18% in 2010. Over the 25 year period, the age group that is projected to increase the most in size in East Ayrshire is the 75+ age group. This is the same as Scotland as a whole. The population aged under 16 years in East Ayrshire is projected to decline by 4.3% between 2010 to 2035. Source: National Records of Scotland: East Ayrshire Council Demographic Area – Demographic Factsheet, December 2012 East Ayrshire Area Profile Age Structure Mid year estimates 2011. Age Male Female All East Ayrshire Scotland 5-9 3,251 3,126 6,377 5.3% 5.2% 10-14 4,082 3,814 7,896 6.6% 6.5% 15-19 3,169 2,965 6,134 5.1% 4.9% 20-24 4,037 3,756 7,793 6.5% 7.0% 25-29 3,449 3,420 6,869 5.7% 6.8% 30-34 2,873 3,226 6,099 5.1% 6.1% 35-39 3,559 3,695 7,254 6.0% 6.1% 40-44 4,424 4,895 9,319 7.8% 7.3% 45-49 4,563 4,974 9,537 7.9% 7.7% 50-54 4,168 4,567 8,735 7.3% 7.1% 55-59 3,700 3,928 7,628 6.3% 6.2% 60-64 4,142 4,252 8,394 7.0% 6.3% 65-69 3,098 3,412 6,510 5.4% 5.0% 70-74 2,498 2,901 5,399 4.5% 4.1% 75-79 1,860 2,443 4,303 3.6% 3.4% 80-84 1,111 1,654 2,765 2.3% 2.4% 85-89 545 1,074 1,619 1.3% 1.4% 90+ 221 603 824 0.7% 0.7% All Ages 58,230 61,970 120,200 100% 100% Source: National Records of Scotland Ethnic Grouping Percentage of population. East Ayrshire % Scotland % White Scottish 94.22 88.09 Other White British 3.94 7.38 White Irish 0.57 0.98 Other White 0.59 1.54 Indian 0.07 0.30 Pakistani 0.14 0.63 Bangladeshi 0.00 0.04 Other South Asian 0.04 0.12 Chinese 0.18 0.32 Caribbean 0.01 0.04 African 0.02 0.10 Black Scottish or Other Black 0.01 0.02 Any Mixed Background 0.15 0.25 Other Ethnic Group 0.05 0.19 Source: National Records of Scotland (Census 2001) Analysis: In East Ayrshire, the ethnic minority...
Population Projections. 5. Student projections per household shall be developed by the School Board based upon data provided by the State of Florida, the County, Cities and the School Board’s own historical data and other information. Such projections shall be used by the parties in the review and approval process for new residential development.
Population Projections. The population of East Ayrshire has been shown to be both declining and ageing in recent years. The population decreased by 0.6% over the period 2001-2007, faster than the decline in the West of Scotland (-0.1%) and in contrast to a small increase across Scotland (1.6%).
Population Projections. The project will employ most of the workers from nearby areas. Local people from nearby villages will be given preference. Thus there will no chance to increase population due to proposed project of Lime Stone and mining in the area.
Population Projections. Lionheart understands the importance of population projections being determined, understood, and accepted by stakeholders early in the process. These projections form the basis of future land use and transportation scenarios.
Population Projections. CONSULTANT shall assess the data provided by CITY regarding historic, current, and future populations within the CITY's existing and proposed future service area. CONSULTANT shall coordinate with the CITY in order to account for any pending or proposed future land developments, and public, commercial, or industrial customers. CONSULTANT shall review past population projections used by the CITY's Planning and Zoning Department.
Population Projections. Consultant will review the City’s existing reports and documents to confirm the current population trends, gallons per capita per day contribution and future potential wastewater flows. These documents may include the following; • Previous reports, • Comprehensive Plan, • University of Florida’s Bureau of Economic Business and Research (BEBR), and • 2010 United States Census Bureau population projections This data will be used to establish expansion needs, operational impacts, regulatory concerns, flow and wet weather determination, water quality analysis, process review, high flow evaluation the capital improvement plan. An independent population projection will not be completed as part of this task.
Population Projections. 3.3 Flow and Wet Weather Determination
Population Projections. Revisions to growth policies based on updated population, housing, and employment projections out to year 2030 on a sub-regional level.
Population Projections. Over the next decade the population in SE Scotland is expected to increase by 8.2%, principally in the over 65 age group, as outlined in table 1 below. Table 1: GRO predicted change in population by age South East Boards Population Projections 2013 to 2025 Age Years Year 0-14 15-29 00-00 00-00 00-00 00-00 85+ Total 2013 237, 977 302,22 8 407,892 286,60 2 144,835 87,013 33,568 1,500,115 2015 242, 322 300,47 8 407,699 294,25 5 152,240 90,118 35,708 1,522,820 2020 255, 558 286,82 1 412,723 314,38 9 162,635 99,698 42,504 1,574,328 2025 259, 016 284,67 1 427,907 312,25 3 168,449 119,14 3 51,419 1,622,858 Numeric Change 2013 to 2025 21,0 39 -17,557 20,015 25,651 23,614 32,130 17,851 122,743 % Change 2013 to 2025 8.8 % -5.8% 4.9% 9.0% 16.3% 36.9% 53.2% 8.2% 1Møller B., Fekjær H., Xxxxxxxxx T., Xxxxxxxxxxx H, Xxxxx H. H., Xx xxxx M. and Haldorsen T. “Prediction of cancer incidence in the Nordic countries: Empirical comparison of different approaches” (2003) Statistics in medicine, 22:2751-2766 As many cancers are age-related the incidence of cancers is predicted to increase by 27.2% (table 2). The main tumour sites which are going to increase are Breast 23.4% (from 2013 to 2025) Colon 39.3%, Head and Neck cancers 23.4%, Lung cancer 17.5%, melanoma 50.5%, Non-Hodgkin’s Lymphoma 23.4%, rectum 26.0%,prostate 46.9%. In all cases the main increase is seen in the over 75 age group due to increasing longevity. Table 2: Forecast numeric change over coming decade for all cancers in SE Scotland Age 2011 SCR ICD10 2013 2015 2020 2025 Forecast Numeric Change 2013 to 2025 Forecast Percentage Change 2013 to 2025 0-14 30 32 33 34 35 3 9.5% 15-29 92 119 124 129 129 10 8.7% 30-49 778 772 779 795 844 73 9.4% 50-64 2,187 2,141 2,187 2,356 2,465 324 15.1% 65-74 2,281 2,447 2,573 2,773 2,829 382 15.6% 75-84 1,936 2,026 2,128 2,455 2,913 887 43.8% 85+ 790 863 930 1,117 1,366 503 58.3% Total 8,832 9,249 9,657 10,70 3 11,76 5 2,516 27.2% Weighting 1.00 1.04 1.16 1.27 2011 = recorded cases (2012 data is released but some cases come in late so 2011 is more complete) 2013-2025 = predicted The greater number of people diagnosed with cancer will require increasing resources for diagnosis and staging (radiology, pathology, and secondary care physicians) and also treatment modalities such as surgery, radiotherapy and chemotherapy.
