CONSTRUCTION OF THE INFLUENCE DIAGRAMS Sample Clauses

CONSTRUCTION OF THE INFLUENCE DIAGRAMS. In order to build the specific ID for each accident, a basic understanding of how the accidents are categorized is essential. This section aims at the construction of the generalized influence diagram and the provision of evidence for the building of Bayesian Belief Network (BBN) in the final chapter. Before starting, there are a few considerations needing to be noticed: There is no such model that was built before. The causal factors for the lifeboat accidents are miscellaneous and therefore difficult to be modeled totally. Based on the risk influence model developed by SINTEF Industrial Management for North-sea helicopter transport 20, a modified model is developed in the following. There will be two IDs which are consisted of frequency of incidents/accidents (I/A) and consequence of I/A. There are three levels of risk influencing factors (RIFs) in the frequency influencing diagram described in the report mentioned above: operational, organizational and regulatory & customer related. It is considered the same case as in the marine industry and thus can be applied to the modeling of the generalized ID of frequency. They are also applicable for the structure of the consequence ID. Generalized influence diagrams are built as shown in Figure 9 and Figure 10. For the frequency ID, as can be judged from the above, the objective variable is lifeboat accident frequency. The decision variables are represented by the technical dependability, the operational dependability and the external environment which are augmented with the chance variables such as design, operation procedure, sea, etc. Accordingly, the accidents investigated in the former chapter will be developed based on the generalized ID.
Sample 1
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