Direct and predictable effect definition
Direct and predictable effect means there is:
Direct and predictable effect means a close causal link between official participation in a "particular matter" and any expected effect of the matter on the employee's financial interests. The effect need not be immediate, but the chain of causation must be direct, not attenuated or contingent upon the occurrence of events that are speculative, or independent of, and unrelated to, the matter.
Direct and predictable effect means a real possibility that the financial interest will be affected, either for a gain or loss. There must be a close causal link between any decision or action to be taken in the matter and any expected effect on the financial interest. (5 C.F.R. § 2635.402(b)(1))
More Definitions of Direct and predictable effect
Direct and predictable effect means a close causal link between any decision or action to be taken in the matter and any expected effect of the matter on the financial interest. A particular matter will have a predictable effect if there is a real, as opposed to a speculative, possibility that the matter will affect the financial interest. It is not necessary, however, that the magnitude of the gain or loss be known, and the dollar amount of the gain or loss is immaterial.