Earthquake Rupture Forecast Sample Clauses

Earthquake Rupture Forecast. (ERF) logic tree In case of a simple input model, i.e. a model that do not account for epistemic uncertainties, the information describing seismic sources is grouped into an array of GEMSourceData objects. The size of this array will correspond exactly to the number of sources included in the model. In case of complex models, i.e. models that account for epistemic uncertainties related to the creation of an ERF, an object that is capable to fully describe the structure of the logic tree exists. Note that in the current version of the engine, we do not support logic trees with uncorrelated branching levels. For calculation purposes, the defined logic tree data structure simply stores one GEMSourceData-object for each end branch of the logic tree. With uncorrelated uncertainties we mean uncertainties that do not apply in the same way to all sources. For example, if a given fault system is subject to uncertainties in the dip angle, so that 3 possible values of dip are allowed (say 40, 50, 60), correlated uncertainties means that ALL faults in the system may have 40, or 50, or 60 degree dip, uncorrelated uncertainties means that in the system SOME faults have 40, some 50, some 60 degree dip. Clearly if the fault system is large (many faults) enumerating all the possible combinations is not possible, so a Monte Carlo approach is probably the only feasible way to compute a number of realizations of fault systems from which a mean hazard map can be computed Figure 3-1 shows an example how the SHE stores logic trees. It is evident that the central element used to describe the structure of a logic tree is an object called GEMLogicTreeBranchingLevel. Each branching level contains one or more branches and each single one is characterized by a parameter value and a weight. In the example of Figure 3-1 we put two branching levels, one accounting for epistemic uncertainties related to fault geometries the other used to specify two possible depths of the top of rupture. Within our logic tree model, branching levels can be combined to create any desired tree structure (for an example, see the lower part of Figure 3-1).
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Related to Earthquake Rupture Forecast

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