APPLICATION OF BBN IN LIFEBOAT ACCIDENT ANALYSIS Sample Clauses

APPLICATION OF BBN IN LIFEBOAT ACCIDENT ANALYSIS. Bayesian Belief Networks are often used to represent uncertainties in a probabilistic approach where the qualitative information is usually based on expert judgments. In another understanding, the human and organizational factors, for most of the times, are better fitted with BBNs because the HOFs are complex and uncertain. Studies on using BBNs in modeling the HOFs in maritime accidents were also made22. In general understanding, the Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) is a widely used method for dependability modeling and evaluation of technical problems. This technique is to identify an unwanted/undesired event as a Top Event (TE) and construct a hierarchical tree calling Fault Tree (FT) from events to the basic causes. There are some basic assumptions on the method: Events should be binary, for example, working or not-working. Events should be independent which means no interactions between different events. Events and the next lower level causes should be connected by means of logical AND/OR gates. It is not difficult to see that a significant number of accidents happened combined technical failure and human interference. Studies of mapping the FT and BBNs have shown a new perspective of analyzing such accidents23. In the report ‘On the Use of the
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