Covered change. The State or Territory has made a covered change that, either based on a reasonable statistical methodology to isolate the impact of the covered change in actual revenue or based on projections that use reasonable assumptions and do not incorporate the effects of macroeconomic growth to reduce or increase the projected impact of the covered change, the State or Territory assesses has had or predicts to have the effect of reducing tax revenue relative to current law;
Covered change. The State or Ter- ritory has made a covered change that, either based on a reasonable statistical methodology to isolate the impact of the covered change in actual revenue or based on projections that use rea- sonable assumptions and do not incor- porate the effects of macroeconomic growth to reduce or increase the pro- jected impact of the covered change, the State or Territory assesses has had or predicts to have the effect of reduc- ing tax revenue relative to current law;