Population Projections. Contrary to previous trends, the latest available estimates indicate that the population of East Ayrshire is likely to remain relatively static between 2010 and 2035. By contrast, the population of Scotland is projected to increase by 10.2% between 2010 and 2035. East Ayrshire’s population is ageing significantly, with the local working age population (16-64) projected to fall by 13.8% between 2010 and 2035, compared with a relatively static working age population across Scotland. These statistics are compounded by the fact that the over 65 population is expected to increase significantly over the same timeframe. It is estimated that the number of residents aged 65 and over in East Ayrshire will increase by 59%, and will account for around 28% of the total population by 2035, compared to 18% in 2010. Over the 25 year period, the age group that is projected to increase the most in size in East Ayrshire is the 75+ age group. This is the same as Scotland as a whole. The population aged under 16 years in East Ayrshire is projected to decline by 4.3% between 2010 to 2035. Source: National Records of Scotland: East Ayrshire Council Demographic Area – Demographic Factsheet, December 2012 East Ayrshire Area Profile Age Structure Mid year estimates 2011. Age Male Female All East Ayrshire Scotland 5-9 3,251 3,126 6,377 5.3% 5.2% 10-14 4,082 3,814 7,896 6.6% 6.5% 15-19 3,169 2,965 6,134 5.1% 4.9% 20-24 4,037 3,756 7,793 6.5% 7.0% 25-29 3,449 3,420 6,869 5.7% 6.8% 30-34 2,873 3,226 6,099 5.1% 6.1% 35-39 3,559 3,695 7,254 6.0% 6.1% 40-44 4,424 4,895 9,319 7.8% 7.3% 45-49 4,563 4,974 9,537 7.9% 7.7% 50-54 4,168 4,567 8,735 7.3% 7.1% 55-59 3,700 3,928 7,628 6.3% 6.2% 60-64 4,142 4,252 8,394 7.0% 6.3% 65-69 3,098 3,412 6,510 5.4% 5.0% 70-74 2,498 2,901 5,399 4.5% 4.1% 75-79 1,860 2,443 4,303 3.6% 3.4% 80-84 1,111 1,654 2,765 2.3% 2.4% 85-89 545 1,074 1,619 1.3% 1.4% 90+ 221 603 824 0.7% 0.7% All Ages 58,230 61,970 120,200 100% 100% Source: National Records of Scotland Ethnic Grouping Percentage of population. East Ayrshire % Scotland % White Scottish 94.22 88.09 Other White British 3.94 7.38 White Irish 0.57 0.98 Other White 0.59 1.54 Indian 0.07 0.30 Pakistani 0.14 0.63 Bangladeshi 0.00 0.04 Other South Asian 0.04 0.12 Chinese 0.18 0.32 Caribbean 0.01 0.04 African 0.02 0.10 Black Scottish or Other Black 0.01 0.02 Any Mixed Background 0.15 0.25 Other Ethnic Group 0.05 0.19 Source: National Records of Scotland (Census 2001) Analysis: In East Ayrshire, the ethnic minority...
Population Projections. 5. Student projections per household shall be developed by the School Board based upon data provided by the State of Florida, the County, Cities and the School Board’s own historical data and other information. Such projections shall be used by the parties in the review and approval process for new residential development.
Population Projections. The population of East Ayrshire has been shown to be both declining and ageing in recent years. The population decreased by 0.6% over the period 2001-2007, faster than the decline in the West of Scotland (-0.1%) and in contrast to a small increase across Scotland (1.6%).
Population Projections. The project will employ most of the workers from nearby areas. Local people from nearby villages will be give preference. Thus there will no chance to increase population due to proposed project of Marble mining in the area.
Population Projections. Revisions to growth policies based on updated population, housing, and employment projections out to year 2030 on a sub-regional level.
Population Projections. Over the next decade the population in SE Scotland is expected to increase by 8.2%, principally in the over 65 age group, as outlined in table 1 below. Table 1: GRO predicted change in population by age South East Boards Population Projections 2013 to 2025 Age Years Year 0-14 15-29 00-00 00-00 00-00 00-00 85+ Total 2013 237, 977 302,22 8 407,892 286,60 2 144,835 87,013 33,568 1,500,115 2015 242, 322 300,47 8 407,699 294,25 5 152,240 90,118 35,708 1,522,820 2020 255, 558 286,82 1 412,723 314,38 9 162,635 99,698 42,504 1,574,328 2025 259, 016 284,67 1 427,907 312,25 3 168,449 119,14 3 51,419 1,622,858 Numeric Change 2013 to 2025 21,0 39 -17,557 20,015 25,651 23,614 32,130 17,851 122,743 % Change 2013 to 2025 8.8 % -5.8% 4.9% 9.0% 16.3% 36.9% 53.2% 8.2% 1Møller B., Fekjær H., Xxxxxxxxx T., Xxxxxxxxxxx H, Xxxxx H. H., Xx xxxx M. and Haldorsen T. “Prediction of cancer incidence in the Nordic countries: Empirical comparison of different approaches” (2003) Statistics in medicine, 22:2751-2766 As many cancers are age-related the incidence of cancers is predicted to increase by 27.2% (table 2). The main tumour sites which are going to increase are Breast 23.4% (from 2013 to 2025) Colon 39.3%, Head and Neck cancers 23.4%, Lung cancer 17.5%, melanoma 50.5%, Non-Hodgkin’s Lymphoma 23.4%, rectum 26.0%,prostate 46.9%. In all cases the main increase is seen in the over 75 age group due to increasing longevity. Table 2: Forecast numeric change over coming decade for all cancers in SE Scotland Age 2011 SCR ICD10 2013 2015 2020 2025 Forecast Numeric Change 2013 to 2025 Forecast Percentage Change 2013 to 2025 0-14 30 32 33 34 35 3 9.5% 15-29 92 119 124 129 129 10 8.7% 30-49 778 772 779 795 844 73 9.4% 50-64 2,187 2,141 2,187 2,356 2,465 324 15.1% 65-74 2,281 2,447 2,573 2,773 2,829 382 15.6% 75-84 1,936 2,026 2,128 2,455 2,913 887 43.8% 85+ 790 863 930 1,117 1,366 503 58.3% Total 8,832 9,249 9,657 10,70 3 11,76 5 2,516 27.2% Weighting 1.00 1.04 1.16 1.27 2011 = recorded cases (2012 data is released but some cases come in late so 2011 is more complete) 2013-2025 = predicted The greater number of people diagnosed with cancer will require increasing resources for diagnosis and staging (radiology, pathology, and secondary care physicians) and also treatment modalities such as surgery, radiotherapy and chemotherapy.
Population Projections. The April 2000 Review and Update of the Strategic Planning Guidelines for the Greater Dublin Area estimates the population of the Greater Dublin Area, recorded as 1,405,671 in 1996, will be 1,652,710 by 2006 (assuming nil net migration) an increase of 11%. Given the current high level of in-migration into the Greater Dublin Area in general and County Kildare in particular, it is reasonable to assume that the county will experience population growth of greater than 11% between 1996 and 2006. The 1999 Kildare County Development Plan estimates the county’s population at 155,817 by 20063 Population projections for Maynooth are particularly difficult because of the town’s role as a university town and commuter town for Dublin. The opening of the Arrow commuter rail service and completion of the M4 motorway to Kilcock in the 1990s have made the town increasingly accessible from Dublin, while the continued growth of the universities will also have a profound impact on the town’s population. Population growth will largely depend on the availability of housing, which in turn will depend on the availability of serviced, zoned lands. Given the excellent road and rail connections Maynooth now enjoys, its attractive urban environment and the ongoing expansion of the universities, it is likely that the town will come under continued pressure for new residential development. The 1999 Kildare County Development Plan established a target population for Maynooth of 12,300 by 2006.
Population Projections. In both local authorities projected population by age indicates an increase in all age groups 0-75+ with the most significant increase in age group 30+ and 65+ Specifically, to year 2039, the age group to increase the most in size in both Local Authorities is the 75+ age group. This is the same as for Scotland as a whole. The 2014 mid-year estimate indicates the East Lothian (Table 1) age group 16-29 population to be 15,875, 15.5% of the total population. Midlothian (Table 2) age group 16-29 population to be 13,837, 16% of the total population. The Scottish figure is 11.6%. Both local authorities will have a higher proportion of young people than Scotland by 2039. Table 1 Table 2 Areas of Multiple Deprivation Midlothian The most deprived datazone in Midlothian is found in the immediate zone of Dalkeith and the Scottish Parliament Constituency of Midlothian. It has a rank of 585 meaning that it is amongst the 10% most deprived areas in Scotland. (Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation 2012) Data zone movement between SIMD 2009 and XXXX 2012 Midlothian has 112 datazones. In 2012 2.7% were found in the 15% most deprived datazones in Scotland. Like East Lothian, the Midlothian level of income deprivation is 12.2% below that of Scotland at 13.4%. This pattern continues for employment where 12% of the population aged 16-60/64 are employment deprived below Scotland at 12.8% The most health deprived area is Xxxxxxxx. It has a rank of 393 meaning that it is amongst the 10% most deprived areas in Scotland. The most education deprived area is Easthouses. It has a rank of 389 meaning that it is amongst the 10% most deprived areas in Scotland. Recently released Figures for Midlothian reveal a rise in deprivation, one of only ten local authority areas to see an increase. For the local share of the 20% most deprived data zones in Scotland, Midlothian has gone up to 11% 2016. Datazones in Straiton and Bonnyrigg South now fall into the top 20%. These three areas are identified in the Midlothian Community planning partnership’s Single Midlothian Plan. New investment along the Borders Rail line and Midlothian’s membership of the Edinburgh Region ‘City Deal’ will further support resident’s access to work and inward investment in local employment. Skills Development Scotland and the council are working together with other providers across the college, private and voluntary sector to increase the positive destinations of school leavers and this work has targeted the secondary s...
Population Projections. Coordination regarding the update of the County’s and Cities’ population projections, their allocation into planning areas, and conversion into projected student enrollment will occur on an annual basis at a staff working group meeting to be held by April 1 of each year. These projections will include consideration of information regarding charter, private, and parochial schools, and home school students. The revised projections and the variables utilized in making the projections will be reviewed prior to the staff working group meeting and discussed by all parties at the staff working group meeting.
Population Projections. There will be a marked increase in direct and indirect employment opportunities, subsequent communication and improvement in transportation facilities in the region including ancillary development. No significant influx of people is anticipated in the area. Local people will be preferred for employment. This will contribute in raising the socio-economic status and standard of living of the nearby villagers. Skilled 15 and unskilled 30workers will be engaged at this mine. Preference will be given to the local people depending upon their education, skills and experience. Highly skilled labour may be appointed from outer areas, if unavailable locally. Proper planning for developments in the affected areas considering long term horizon shall be the keyword.
