Rate Estimation and Projection Sample Clauses

Rate Estimation and Projection. In the Bayesian extended APC model, I also compute the estimated mortality rate at each iteration of MCMC samplings as λ[i, j] = 100, 000 × exp(αci + βcj + γck) where i = 1, ..., I, j = 1, ..., J + N, k = j − i + I, N denotes the future period where the projected rates are computed. Here, I choose N = 3 to represent the future periods at 2009-2013, 2014-2018, and 2019-2023. The posterior estimates for age, period and cohort effects are listed in Table 4.4.
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